Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.066440 0.078843 0.092760 0.109514 0.129112 0.151288 0.178264
2025-03-30 0.046961 0.062719 0.082425 0.108783 0.143010 0.185836 0.243368
2025-04-06 0.035049 0.051433 0.073756 0.106185 0.151851 0.213580 0.303014
2025-04-13 0.027010 0.042926 0.066234 0.102515 0.157152 0.235846 0.357116
2025-04-20 0.022692 0.038633 0.063470 0.104480 0.169856 0.269186 0.430371
2025-04-27 0.019204 0.034803 0.060507 0.105257 0.180314 0.299893 0.502998
2025-05-04 0.016438 0.031559 0.057793 0.105733 0.189948 0.330005 0.577881
2025-05-11 0.014383 0.029133 0.055971 0.107255 0.201241 0.363787 0.662414
2025-05-18 0.012990 0.027651 0.055528 0.111027 0.216760 0.406263 0.766424
2025-05-25 0.010959 0.024525 0.051486 0.107415 0.218164 0.423814 0.828004
2025-06-01 0.009639 0.022602 0.049447 0.107290 0.225983 0.453664 0.915104
2025-06-08 0.008395 0.020604 0.046919 0.105752 0.230703 0.478003 0.994196
2025-06-15 0.007648 0.019614 0.046414 0.108482 0.244694 0.522402 1.118453
2025-06-22 0.006716 0.018015 0.044331 0.107503 0.250811 0.551870 1.216412
2025-06-29 0.005811 0.016301 0.041703 0.104878 0.252957 0.573321 1.300170
2025-07-06 0.004982 0.014610 0.038838 0.101239 0.252273 0.588575 1.372322
2025-07-13 0.004564 0.013932 0.038334 0.103178 0.264688 0.633638 1.514164
2025-07-20 0.004138 0.013143 0.037416 0.103945 0.274387 0.673648 1.648963
2025-07-27 0.003748 0.012381 0.036444 0.104415 0.283402 0.713031 1.786474
2025-08-03 0.003444 0.011811 0.035895 0.105919 0.295195 0.760173 1.947047
2025-08-10 0.003250 0.011545 0.036152 0.109647 0.313199 0.824117 2.154333
2025-08-17 0.002833 0.010473 0.033916 0.106077 0.311441 0.839404 2.244596
2025-08-24 0.002571 0.009860 0.032934 0.105954 0.318998 0.878822 2.399011